truthwillnotbesilenced asked:


Do people understand that oil wells have a 15-20 year life cycle, that most of the wells producing now were drilled 7-10 years ago? You make an investment decision based on the budgeted return and nobody 10 years ago anticipated that oil prices would be this high now. As a result fewer oil wells were drilled. And now the cost of drilling for oil and for gas has grown exponentially (which is why I told you people to buy BRNC two months ago - I did, and I’m up $2.75/share) - a cost that typically is shown on the cash flow statement - and if it isn’t that means that if you read the rest of the 10-K you’ll see that the E+P firm’s reserves are down, which is why E+P companies trade at such low P/Es).

If you think “big oil is raping us” then go buy some stock in an E+P company - you might wonder why Wall Street isn’t following your lead though.
BS the point is that to stay in business they have to maintain their reserves - profits are way up but so is the cost to drill, thus what goes in goes back out - the main reason big oil stocks have come up is that they HAVEN’T reinvested all the profits in new exploration, they’ve furthered their forward integration (Mobil does more marketing) and they’ve bought back stock (again XOM) - XOM’s performance adjusted for the stock buyback isn’t any better than the broader market.
Seriously - read a CASH FLOW statement.

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THE WRAITH OF GOD IS COMING asked:


Thus avoding 90+ to 100 dollar of oil a day.

I know people will starve around the world, but hey will have fuel and the middle east can eat their oil or trade for food from China and we know what that means, lead in the food.

I say it is a total win sit. what say you?

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