ZACK U asked:


Oil is increasing because as you get closer to supply overload, perhaps the oil price starts becoming asymptotic.

The economist said speculators couldn’t drive up the price of oil because they are simply trading ‘paper barrels’. However, all this demand for contracts has to increase demand somewhere; They buy oil, then they sell it before ‘delivery,’ but in the process they are increasing demand.

It would seem that oil price could come down fairly easily. There is 1 million barrel discrepancy between supply and demand. With people’s lifestyle changing a little bit, you could easily take out 4 million barrels of demand and then the price could really plummet to 30’s or 20’s.

Nevertheless, this would mean a constant constraint on world growth, as every time the global belly would swell a price shock would ensue; demand growth is faster than supply growth.

It will be interesting to see where it goes. Please leave your insightful comments below.
Eventually high prices make alternatives attractive.

Did you know that hydrogen is cost efficient at 150 a barrel? you can use coal or nuclear to turn water into hydrogen, at an energy loss, but cost is what matters in the end.

Oil will not stay at thsi price but the constraints on growth will… This will mean people will notice another oil shock after it goes down again fairly quickly. This is why alternatives become viable.

The best outcome will be a combination of all the alternatives. And….nuclear power.
Mrs. bugsme…

I think your right about that…it will take a few years before this starts happening though, perhaps two decades…In the transition period, oil nations will have a ball.
in other words..its going to crash and oil nations will not like the outcome (its not their fault or anything that oil has gone up though)…but then perhaps it will go up again a year later, so, its up for grabs.

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M. Strangerman asked:


Because oil was at $147.27 in July, that figure has been halved. During this time the American public was urging people to cut down on oil consumption in retaliation to the price drop and to save money. Do you believe that this contributed heavily to the price drop, and if so is this a good weapon to use against OPEC and other oil producing nations not part of OPEC as a grassroots level of economic sanction?

After all, capitalism is prevalent in our world and people want to make money. They certainly DON’T want to lose business.
All very good answers! I’m not an economist, so I apologize for being general. I’m just some guy on the sidelines making observations and calling it like I see it.

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